Boavista vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.9%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
16.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
27%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.5%
15.6%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boavista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2003 |
SPB
0 - 0
BOA
34%
27%
39%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2003 |
BOA
0 - 1
FCP
24%
27%
50%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2003 |
PAÇ
0 - 3
BOA
29%
27%
44%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2003 |
BOA
1 - 1
BEL
54%
26%
21%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2003 |
RIO
1 - 2
BOA
24%
28%
48%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2003 |
FCP
1 - 0
NAC
79%
14%
8%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
NAC
4 - 0
BEL
40%
26%
35%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2003 |
ACA
0 - 1
NAC
51%
24%
25%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
NAC
4 - 2
VIT
46%
26%
28%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
SLB
1 - 0
NAC
77%
16%
8%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | -1 |