Boavista vs Lusitano VRSA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.8%
Win probability
3.12
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.2%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.2%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
4%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.5%
13%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
13%
10.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boavista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 1948 |
FCP
5 - 1
BOA
87%
8%
5%
|
62 | 81 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1948 |
BOA
3 - 1
VST
58%
20%
22%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 1948 |
BOA
6 - 2
ACA
66%
17%
17%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 1948 |
SLB
3 - 1
BOA
94%
4%
2%
|
60 | 88 | 28 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1948 |
BOA
2 - 3
BEL
11%
17%
72%
|
61 | 86 | 25 | -1 |
Matches
Lusitano VRSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 1948 |
LUS
2 - 1
OEL
42%
23%
35%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1948 |
EST
6 - 1
LUS
91%
6%
3%
|
55 | 79 | 24 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1948 |
SCP
12 - 0
LUS
95%
4%
1%
|
56 | 88 | 32 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 1948 |
LUS
1 - 0
ATL
36%
23%
41%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 1948 |
VIT
3 - 2
LUS
80%
12%
8%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |