Boavista vs Farense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
16.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
22.5%
12.5%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boavista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 1987 |
ACA
2 - 0
BOA
44%
28%
28%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1986 |
MAR
2 - 2
BOA
41%
29%
30%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1986 |
BOA
4 - 0
SAL
67%
20%
13%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1986 |
BOA
0 - 0
VAR
68%
20%
12%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1986 |
RIO
3 - 2
BOA
46%
28%
26%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Farense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 1987 |
FAR
2 - 0
MAR
49%
28%
24%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1986 |
FAR
1 - 2
VAR
50%
28%
22%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1986 |
FCP
8 - 3
FAR
89%
8%
3%
|
54 | 88 | 34 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 1986 |
FAR
1 - 0
SPB
42%
28%
30%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 1986 |
SCP
1 - 0
FAR
82%
13%
5%
|
53 | 86 | 33 | 0 |