Boavista vs Fabril Barreiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.6%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
16.2%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boavista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 1954 |
LGC
2 - 1
BOA
58%
20%
23%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1954 |
SLB
11 - 0
BOA
87%
8%
5%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1954 |
BOA
2 - 2
VIT
63%
19%
18%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1954 |
VST
4 - 0
BOA
58%
20%
22%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 1954 |
BOA
3 - 0
ATL
54%
22%
24%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Fabril Barreiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 1954 |
FAB
0 - 1
SLB
12%
16%
72%
|
60 | 88 | 28 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1954 |
VIT
1 - 2
FAB
64%
19%
17%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 1954 |
FAB
2 - 1
VST
50%
22%
28%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 1954 |
ATL
1 - 0
FAB
71%
16%
13%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 1954 |
FAB
1 - 1
ACA
62%
19%
19%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |