Boavista vs Estoril analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.1%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
35.2%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boavista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1951 |
SCP
3 - 1
BOA
88%
7%
4%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1951 |
BOA
2 - 1
BEL
41%
24%
36%
|
63 | 82 | 19 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 1951 |
FCB
4 - 0
BOA
59%
20%
21%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 1951 |
BOA
4 - 1
SAL
77%
13%
10%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 1951 |
SPB
1 - 3
BOA
61%
19%
19%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1951 |
EST
4 - 0
VIT
73%
15%
12%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1951 |
EST
5 - 3
ACA
64%
18%
19%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 1951 |
SCP
8 - 1
EST
85%
9%
6%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 1951 |
EST
2 - 3
BEL
47%
23%
30%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1951 |
FCB
3 - 3
EST
44%
21%
35%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |