Taça de Portugal Last 16
Global 2-8
Boavista vs Estoril analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.1%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.3%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
3.2%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.3%
32.5%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
16%
0-2
3%
1-3
4%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boavista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 1951 |
BOA
1 - 1
ATL
45%
23%
33%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1951 |
SCP
7 - 0
BOA
89%
7%
4%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 1951 |
BOA
1 - 1
SLB
20%
19%
61%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 1951 |
OLH
1 - 0
BOA
62%
18%
20%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 1951 |
BOA
5 - 0
ACA
57%
20%
24%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 1951 |
EST
2 - 0
FCP
38%
23%
39%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1951 |
SPB
3 - 2
EST
48%
22%
30%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 1951 |
OLH
3 - 2
EST
48%
21%
31%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1951 |
EST
5 - 1
ATL
53%
21%
26%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 1951 |
SCP
5 - 3
EST
86%
8%
5%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | 0 |