Cup Winners Cup Last 16
Global 1-3
Boavista vs Celtic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.4%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.1%
33.5%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boavista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1975 |
VST
1 - 2
BOA
65%
20%
15%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1975 |
BOA
1 - 1
VIT
55%
22%
23%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1975 |
EST
0 - 2
BOA
37%
29%
34%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1975 |
BOA
3 - 0
TNV
60%
21%
19%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 1975 |
BOA
4 - 3
ATL
71%
18%
11%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1975 |
ABE
1 - 2
CEL
42%
25%
33%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1975 |
CEL
1 - 0
PAR
72%
15%
13%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 1975 |
CEL
3 - 1
HOM
65%
19%
16%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 1975 |
CEL
7 - 0
VAL
82%
11%
7%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 1975 |
CEL
2 - 1
DUN
60%
21%
19%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | +1 |