Boavista vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.4%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
58.9%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.9%
0-4
3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
5º
18º
18º
47
1º
15º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 77 |
1º
|
75% | |
|
|
2º
|
47 | 71 |
2º
|
42.5% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 67 |
3º
|
34.5% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 67 |
4º
|
43% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 54 |
5º
|
31.5% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 53 |
6º
|
26.5% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 51 |
7º
|
24% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 48 |
8º
|
19.5% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 45 |
9º
|
19% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 44 |
10º
|
17% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 43 |
11º
|
16% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 40 |
12º
|
16.5% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 38 |
13º
|
15.5% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 37 |
14º
|
26% | |
|
17º
|
15 | 30 |
15º
|
25% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 29 |
16º
|
23% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 26 |
17º
|
31.5% | |
|
|
18º
|
12 | 25 |
18º
|
38.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League
|
0% | 18% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 42.5% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 24% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 14.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
20.5% | 1% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
19.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
60% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boavista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2024 |
ESA
2 - 2
BOA
34%
26%
40%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
BOA
0 - 0
EST
42%
26%
32%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
FAM
1 - 0
BOA
53%
24%
24%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
BOA
0 - 1
SPB
15%
19%
66%
|
75 | 89 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
CAS
0 - 1
BOA
38%
27%
36%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2024 |
CRV
1 - 2
SLB
32%
24%
44%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
SLB
4 - 1
SAN
73%
17%
10%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
MOR
1 - 1
SLB
28%
24%
48%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
SLB
1 - 0
ESA
79%
14%
7%
|
89 | 69 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
SLB
3 - 0
CAS
75%
16%
9%
|
89 | 75 | 14 | 0 |