Boavista vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.7%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
47.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boavista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2006 |
SCP
3 - 2
BOA
63%
23%
14%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2006 |
BOA
1 - 1
FCP
24%
28%
48%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2006 |
NAC
1 - 0
BOA
51%
25%
24%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2006 |
VIT
1 - 1
BOA
46%
28%
26%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2006 |
BOA
0 - 2
SLB
25%
27%
47%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2006 |
SLB
3 - 0
AUS
62%
24%
14%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2006 |
AUS
1 - 1
SLB
32%
28%
40%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2006 |
PAÇ
3 - 1
SLB
22%
26%
53%
|
87 | 69 | 18 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
SLB
1 - 0
VST
65%
22%
14%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2006 |
NAC
1 - 1
SLB
29%
26%
46%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | -1 |