Boavista vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.3%
27%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
48%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boavista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2005 |
VIT
2 - 0
BOA
39%
28%
33%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2005 |
BOA
1 - 2
SPB
48%
27%
25%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2005 |
ACA
1 - 0
BOA
35%
28%
38%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2005 |
BOA
1 - 1
MOR
63%
24%
13%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2005 |
VST
2 - 1
BOA
41%
26%
33%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2005 |
SLB
1 - 0
SCP
43%
25%
33%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2005 |
PEN
1 - 0
SLB
20%
24%
56%
|
86 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2005 |
SLB
1 - 0
BEL
73%
18%
10%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2005 |
EST
1 - 2
SLB
19%
24%
58%
|
86 | 62 | 24 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2005 |
EST
0 - 3
SLB
15%
23%
62%
|
86 | 63 | 23 | 0 |