Boavista vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
48.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boavista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 1986 |
SPC
1 - 1
BOA
35%
29%
36%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1986 |
BOA
2 - 1
VST
66%
20%
13%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1986 |
VIT
2 - 1
BOA
59%
23%
18%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1986 |
BOA
5 - 2
MAR
69%
19%
11%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1986 |
FCP
1 - 1
BOA
85%
11%
5%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 1986 |
SLB
1 - 2
SCP
65%
20%
15%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1986 |
PEN
0 - 0
SLB
11%
22%
67%
|
88 | 59 | 29 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1986 |
BEL
0 - 1
SLB
20%
25%
55%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1986 |
SLB
1 - 0
ACA
86%
10%
4%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1986 |
SPB
1 - 1
SLB
22%
25%
53%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |