Boavista vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.1%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.9%
45.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boavista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1980 |
POR
2 - 0
BOA
40%
28%
32%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1980 |
BOA
1 - 0
SPB
62%
22%
16%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1980 |
ESP
0 - 2
BOA
38%
28%
34%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1980 |
BOA
2 - 1
MAR
69%
20%
12%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 1980 |
BOA
1 - 1
VAR
69%
20%
12%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1980 |
SLB
4 - 0
VAR
87%
9%
4%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1980 |
SCP
3 - 1
SLB
47%
27%
27%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1980 |
SLB
8 - 0
BEL
85%
11%
4%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1980 |
EST
0 - 2
SLB
12%
26%
62%
|
88 | 58 | 30 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1980 |
SLB
3 - 0
UDL
87%
8%
4%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |