Boavista vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.6%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.3%
24%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24%
58.5%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boavista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1974 |
LEX
0 - 0
BOA
46%
26%
27%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1974 |
BOA
1 - 1
FAR
63%
23%
15%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1974 |
UFT
1 - 2
BOA
39%
27%
34%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 1974 |
BOA
6 - 3
ATL
72%
18%
10%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1974 |
VST
3 - 2
BOA
78%
14%
8%
|
66 | 87 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1974 |
SLB
4 - 0
ACA
87%
9%
4%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1974 |
VAN
1 - 4
SLB
14%
21%
65%
|
88 | 42 | 46 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1974 |
LEX
1 - 2
SLB
13%
23%
63%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1974 |
SLB
2 - 2
OLH
87%
9%
4%
|
88 | 60 | 28 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1974 |
SLB
4 - 0
VAN
93%
5%
2%
|
88 | 42 | 46 | 0 |