Boavista vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.6%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.6%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
4%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.3%
58.1%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
16.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.9%
0-2
12.7%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
18%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boavista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 1973 |
FAR
2 - 0
BOA
46%
25%
30%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1973 |
BOA
3 - 1
UFT
73%
18%
9%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1973 |
FCP
1 - 0
BOA
72%
18%
10%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1973 |
BOA
3 - 1
VST
24%
27%
49%
|
64 | 86 | 22 | +2 |
| 22 Apr. 1973 |
BEL
1 - 1
BOA
62%
22%
16%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 1973 |
SLB
6 - 0
CDM
90%
7%
3%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1973 |
ATL
0 - 0
SLB
14%
22%
64%
|
88 | 57 | 31 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1973 |
SLB
2 - 0
FAB
87%
9%
4%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1973 |
SLB
8 - 0
VIT
86%
10%
4%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1973 |
FAR
0 - 5
SLB
16%
19%
65%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |