Boavista vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.1%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
60.3%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
7%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
11%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boavista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1953 |
FCB
1 - 0
BOA
62%
20%
19%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1953 |
BOA
4 - 3
VIT
67%
18%
15%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 1953 |
ORI
0 - 0
BOA
55%
21%
24%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1953 |
BOA
1 - 1
ATL
55%
22%
23%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1953 |
FCP
6 - 0
BOA
82%
11%
7%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1953 |
SLB
2 - 0
BEL
82%
11%
7%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1953 |
VST
5 - 3
SLB
20%
21%
60%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1953 |
SLB
2 - 1
SPB
90%
7%
4%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1953 |
LGC
0 - 2
SLB
22%
20%
58%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 1953 |
SLB
5 - 0
FCP
82%
11%
7%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |