Boavista vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.4%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.2%
76.8%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.6%
1-4
5.4%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
16.4%
0-4
6.5%
1-5
2.9%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
10%
0-5
3.5%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.1%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boavista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 1946 |
ATL
4 - 1
BOA
73%
14%
12%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1946 |
BOA
5 - 1
VST
37%
21%
41%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | +2 |
| 13 Jan. 1946 |
VIT
3 - 1
BOA
55%
20%
25%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 1946 |
BOA
3 - 0
OLI
73%
15%
12%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 1945 |
BOA
5 - 0
ACA
60%
18%
22%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 1946 |
SLB
2 - 0
BEL
77%
13%
11%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1946 |
SCP
4 - 3
SLB
59%
18%
23%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1946 |
SLB
5 - 2
SLE
93%
4%
2%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1946 |
OLH
1 - 2
SLB
24%
20%
56%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1945 |
SLB
4 - 0
FCP
81%
11%
9%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |