Boavista vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.9%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.1%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
43.9%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boavista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1936 |
FCP
4 - 0
BOA
74%
14%
12%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1936 |
BOA
0 - 3
FCP
39%
22%
40%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 1936 |
SCP
9 - 1
BOA
66%
17%
17%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 1936 |
ACA
0 - 2
BOA
40%
22%
38%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 1936 |
BOA
4 - 0
CAR
64%
18%
18%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1936 |
SLB
3 - 1
SCP
62%
18%
20%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1936 |
SLB
3 - 1
ACA
87%
8%
5%
|
81 | 62 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1936 |
CAR
0 - 0
SLB
26%
20%
55%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1936 |
SLB
5 - 1
FCP
61%
19%
20%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1936 |
SLB
0 - 0
BEL
70%
16%
15%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |