Boavista vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.9%
17.5%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boavista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2006 |
VST
1 - 0
BOA
42%
28%
30%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2006 |
BOA
3 - 0
SLB
26%
27%
47%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2006 |
SCP
3 - 2
BOA
63%
23%
14%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2006 |
BOA
1 - 1
FCP
24%
28%
48%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2006 |
NAC
1 - 0
BOA
51%
25%
24%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
ACA
1 - 1
BEL
45%
27%
28%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
ACA
1 - 2
NAV
50%
26%
24%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2006 |
VST
1 - 1
ACA
53%
25%
22%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2006 |
ACA
2 - 2
MAR
42%
29%
30%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
BEL
0 - 0
ACA
53%
25%
22%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |