Boavista vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.8%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.3%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.2%
52.9%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boavista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 1969 |
BEL
3 - 0
BOA
66%
21%
14%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1969 |
BOA
1 - 1
VIT
24%
27%
50%
|
54 | 75 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1969 |
SLB
8 - 0
BOA
83%
11%
6%
|
54 | 88 | 34 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1969 |
BOA
1 - 2
VAR
50%
25%
26%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 1969 |
FCP
2 - 1
BOA
84%
12%
4%
|
55 | 83 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 1969 |
ACA
1 - 0
FAB
77%
15%
8%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1969 |
MAG
1 - 0
ACA
67%
18%
15%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1969 |
LEX
1 - 0
ACA
24%
28%
49%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 1969 |
BEL
1 - 2
ACA
31%
27%
43%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 1969 |
ACA
3 - 3
VIT
63%
20%
17%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |