Boavista vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.4%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
20.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boavista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1955 |
FCB
1 - 0
BOA
60%
20%
20%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1955 |
BOA
5 - 2
FCP
34%
24%
42%
|
62 | 83 | 21 | +2 |
| 20 Mar. 1955 |
SCP
5 - 0
BOA
88%
8%
4%
|
62 | 88 | 26 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1955 |
BOA
2 - 1
SPB
40%
24%
36%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 1955 |
BEL
6 - 0
BOA
75%
15%
10%
|
62 | 83 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1955 |
ACA
3 - 7
SLB
23%
22%
55%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1955 |
VIT
2 - 1
ACA
52%
23%
26%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 1955 |
ACA
3 - 1
VST
56%
20%
23%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 1955 |
ATL
1 - 2
ACA
62%
20%
19%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 1955 |
LGC
1 - 1
ACA
55%
20%
25%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |