Taça de Portugal Last 16
Global 7-3
Boavista vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.1%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
18%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7%
2-2
6%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18%
18.9%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boavista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 1954 |
SPC
4 - 0
BOA
63%
19%
18%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1954 |
BOA
2 - 0
BEL
38%
24%
38%
|
61 | 82 | 21 | +2 |
| 02 May. 1954 |
VST
7 - 1
BOA
61%
20%
19%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 1954 |
BOA
2 - 1
SPB
49%
23%
28%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 1954 |
LGC
1 - 1
BOA
65%
18%
17%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 1954 |
FCP
4 - 1
ACA
83%
11%
6%
|
62 | 83 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1954 |
ACA
1 - 3
SPC
53%
22%
26%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1954 |
ACA
1 - 2
SLB
19%
20%
61%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 1954 |
FCB
3 - 1
ACA
62%
20%
19%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1954 |
ACA
1 - 0
VIT
62%
19%
19%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |