Boavista vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.1%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
18.8%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boavista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 1954 |
SLB
3 - 0
BOA
89%
7%
4%
|
62 | 88 | 26 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1954 |
BOA
3 - 1
FCB
47%
23%
30%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 1954 |
VIT
3 - 0
BOA
63%
19%
18%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 1954 |
BOA
3 - 1
ORI
61%
20%
19%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 1954 |
ATL
5 - 1
BOA
67%
18%
16%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 1954 |
ACA
0 - 1
BEL
44%
23%
33%
|
64 | 82 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1954 |
VST
7 - 1
ACA
56%
21%
23%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 1954 |
ACA
3 - 2
SPB
57%
20%
22%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 1954 |
LGC
3 - 0
ACA
58%
20%
22%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 1954 |
ACA
0 - 2
SCP
22%
21%
57%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |