Taça de Portugal Last 16
Global 5-3
Boavista vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.4%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
5.5%
4-3
1.9%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19.7%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
7%
3-3
3.2%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
19.7%
28.9%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boavista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1941 |
BOA
0 - 8
BEL
31%
22%
47%
|
58 | 79 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1941 |
BEL
7 - 1
BOA
83%
10%
7%
|
59 | 79 | 20 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 1941 |
BOA
2 - 3
BEL
24%
21%
56%
|
59 | 79 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1941 |
FCP
7 - 1
BOA
93%
5%
2%
|
60 | 83 | 23 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 1941 |
SCP
9 - 0
BOA
94%
4%
2%
|
60 | 84 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1945 |
ACA
1 - 2
SCP
22%
20%
58%
|
59 | 88 | 29 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1945 |
BEL
15 - 2
ACA
81%
11%
8%
|
60 | 83 | 23 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 1945 |
ACA
1 - 3
FCP
39%
20%
42%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 1945 |
SAL
2 - 1
ACA
42%
21%
37%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1945 |
VST
2 - 0
ACA
67%
16%
17%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | -1 |