Rio Cup Last 16
Global 0-2
Boavista SC vs Serrano FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.8%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
21%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+48%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boavista SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2023 |
SFC
1 - 0
BOA
22%
25%
53%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2023 |
BOA
3 - 3
VOL
12%
18%
71%
|
46 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
BOA
1 - 0
NOV
23%
24%
53%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2023 |
VAS
4 - 1
BOA
86%
11%
3%
|
45 | 74 | 29 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
AUD
3 - 2
BOA
42%
26%
33%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Serrano FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2023 |
SFC
1 - 0
BOA
22%
25%
53%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2023 |
AFC
0 - 1
SFC
52%
25%
23%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2023 |
SFC
1 - 0
AFC
22%
25%
53%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | +2 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
SFC
0 - 1
PER
26%
24%
50%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
PER
1 - 0
SFC
50%
24%
26%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | -1 |