Boavista SC vs Duque de Caxias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.8%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
22.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boavista SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
BAN
1 - 1
BOA
33%
26%
41%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
FLU
2 - 0
BOA
81%
13%
6%
|
59 | 86 | 27 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2013 |
AUD
1 - 2
BOA
24%
22%
54%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
BOA
0 - 0
FLA
19%
23%
58%
|
58 | 78 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
MAC
3 - 2
BOA
46%
24%
30%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Duque de Caxias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
FLA
1 - 1
DUQ
79%
15%
6%
|
54 | 77 | 23 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
MAC
1 - 3
DUQ
60%
21%
19%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
DUQ
1 - 3
RES
40%
24%
36%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
DUQ
0 - 0
FLU
10%
21%
69%
|
53 | 86 | 33 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
BAN
2 - 2
DUQ
49%
25%
26%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |