Boavista SC vs Ceará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.6%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.1%
17%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
17%
73.4%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
13.4%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.9%
0-3
10.2%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.8%
0-4
5.8%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.9%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.4%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boavista SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
MAC
0 - 2
BOA
59%
22%
20%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
BOA
0 - 1
MAD
36%
27%
37%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2017 |
BOA
1 - 1
NOV
32%
26%
42%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
FLA
4 - 1
BOA
87%
11%
2%
|
43 | 82 | 39 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2016 |
BOA
1 - 3
MAD
48%
27%
26%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
ITA
1 - 1
CEA
10%
18%
72%
|
64 | 39 | 25 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2017 |
CEA
2 - 0
HOR
67%
20%
13%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
CEA
1 - 0
FER
73%
18%
10%
|
64 | 42 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2017 |
CEA
1 - 0
TIR
71%
19%
10%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
CEA
2 - 1
GUA
74%
18%
9%
|
63 | 46 | 17 | 0 |