Boa Viagem EC vs Ferroviário analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.9%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
34.8%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boa Viagem EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
QUI
0 - 1
BOV
46%
24%
31%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
FOR
3 - 2
BOV
78%
14%
8%
|
43 | 63 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2009 |
BOV
0 - 3
FOR
24%
23%
53%
|
44 | 62 | 18 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
BOV
4 - 2
GUA
35%
25%
41%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | +2 |
| 01 Apr. 2009 |
FER
2 - 2
BOV
69%
18%
13%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Ferroviário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2010 |
HOR
1 - 1
FER
46%
24%
30%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
FER
0 - 0
ITA
60%
21%
20%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
FER
3 - 3
SER
60%
22%
18%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
SER
2 - 0
FER
33%
26%
41%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
ALE
1 - 2
FER
30%
26%
44%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | -1 |