Boa Viagem EC vs Crato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.4%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
27.3%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boa Viagem EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2010 |
LIM
2 - 2
BOV
41%
24%
35%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
BOV
1 - 2
FER
41%
24%
35%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
QUI
0 - 1
BOV
46%
24%
31%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
FOR
3 - 2
BOV
78%
14%
8%
|
44 | 64 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2009 |
BOV
0 - 3
FOR
24%
23%
53%
|
45 | 63 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Crato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2010 |
CRA
1 - 0
ITA
45%
24%
31%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
CRA
4 - 0
FOR
22%
23%
56%
|
40 | 61 | 21 | +3 |
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
GUA
1 - 0
CRA
50%
24%
26%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | -1 |