Boa Viagem EC vs Ceará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.7%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.2%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
64.8%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.9%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.8%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boa Viagem EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
GUA
1 - 1
BOV
60%
22%
18%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2010 |
BOV
0 - 3
CRA
49%
23%
27%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -2 |
| 20 Jan. 2010 |
LIM
2 - 2
BOV
41%
24%
35%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
BOV
1 - 2
FER
41%
24%
35%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
QUI
0 - 1
BOV
46%
24%
31%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
FER
1 - 0
CEA
19%
23%
58%
|
69 | 49 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2010 |
MAR
1 - 0
CEA
18%
21%
61%
|
70 | 48 | 22 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
CEA
4 - 1
GUA
80%
14%
6%
|
70 | 43 | 27 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2010 |
ITA
2 - 1
CEA
13%
20%
67%
|
70 | 44 | 26 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
HOR
0 - 1
CEA
17%
21%
63%
|
70 | 49 | 21 | 0 |