Boa EC vs Villa Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.9%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.9%
19%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19%
9.1%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boa EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
CAL
1 - 0
BOA
22%
27%
51%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2020 |
VIL
1 - 1
BOA
12%
19%
69%
|
57 | 38 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2020 |
TOM
0 - 0
BOA
49%
25%
26%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
BOA
0 - 0
COI
67%
19%
14%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2020 |
CRZ
2 - 0
BOA
76%
18%
6%
|
58 | 81 | 23 | -1 |
Matches
Villa Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2020 |
VIL
1 - 2
AMF
11%
21%
68%
|
43 | 72 | 29 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
VIL
2 - 2
TFC
48%
22%
31%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
CAL
2 - 0
VIL
48%
27%
25%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2020 |
CRZ
1 - 0
VIL
84%
14%
3%
|
44 | 81 | 37 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2020 |
PAT
2 - 0
VIL
43%
28%
29%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -1 |