Boa EC vs Vila Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.5%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.3%
14.2%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boa EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
VAS
2 - 0
BOA
76%
17%
7%
|
61 | 79 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2014 |
BOA
0 - 1
PPE
26%
27%
47%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
SAN
3 - 0
BOA
52%
26%
22%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
AVA
2 - 0
BOA
59%
24%
17%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2014 |
BOA
2 - 1
LUV
52%
26%
22%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
VIL
0 - 1
JEC
18%
26%
56%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2014 |
BRA
1 - 2
VIL
72%
19%
9%
|
49 | 65 | 16 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2014 |
VIL
1 - 5
CEA
13%
23%
64%
|
49 | 73 | 24 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
ARN
0 - 1
VIL
76%
16%
8%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2014 |
VIL
0 - 3
PPE
13%
24%
63%
|
49 | 72 | 23 | -1 |