Série D Brazil Ronda final 1/16
Global 1-3
Boa EC vs União Rondonópolis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.1%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
18.2%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boa EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
URO
2 - 0
BOA
27%
29%
44%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
AGU
0 - 0
BOA
20%
25%
55%
|
55 | 37 | 18 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
BOA
3 - 1
RVV
40%
28%
33%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +2 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
CAL
0 - 1
BOA
33%
30%
37%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
BOA
2 - 0
PAT
67%
20%
13%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
União Rondonópolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
URO
2 - 0
BOA
27%
29%
44%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
POR
0 - 2
URO
36%
26%
38%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
URO
0 - 1
GOI
35%
27%
38%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
GAM
0 - 3
URO
63%
21%
16%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | +2 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
BRA
2 - 3
URO
76%
17%
8%
|
41 | 60 | 19 | +2 |