Boa EC vs Social analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.7%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
14%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boa EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
BOA
2 - 1
AMF
59%
22%
20%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
CRZ
4 - 1
BOA
93%
5%
1%
|
54 | 85 | 31 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
GUA
1 - 1
BOA
35%
25%
40%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
BOA
3 - 0
TUP
57%
22%
21%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2009 |
BOA
4 - 1
VIL
51%
23%
26%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Social
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
SOC
3 - 2
USC
24%
25%
51%
|
42 | 62 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
RBR
1 - 0
SOC
54%
23%
23%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
AMF
0 - 0
SOC
61%
21%
18%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
SOC
1 - 2
DEM
32%
26%
42%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2009 |
UBE
1 - 0
SOC
59%
23%
18%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | 0 |