Série C Semi-finals
Global 4-2
Boa EC vs EC Juventude analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.8%
27.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boa EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
JUV
1 - 2
BOA
45%
28%
27%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
BOA
1 - 0
BOT
42%
28%
30%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
BOT
0 - 0
BOA
50%
26%
24%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
GUA
0 - 4
BOA
17%
25%
58%
|
61 | 35 | 26 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
BOA
2 - 0
YPI
50%
26%
24%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
EC Juventude
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2016 |
JUV
1 - 0
ATM
13%
23%
64%
|
58 | 85 | 27 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
JUV
1 - 2
BOA
45%
28%
27%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2016 |
FOR
1 - 1
JUV
64%
22%
15%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
JUV
1 - 1
CAC
79%
15%
6%
|
61 | 11 | 50 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2016 |
JUV
0 - 0
FOR
32%
29%
39%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | +1 |