Boa EC vs Joinville analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
36%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boa EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2012 |
BOA
4 - 1
GRÊ
44%
27%
29%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
BOA
1 - 0
CAL
60%
23%
17%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
NEC
2 - 1
BOA
33%
25%
42%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2012 |
VIL
0 - 0
BOA
29%
26%
45%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
BOA
0 - 2
CRZ
14%
23%
63%
|
61 | 84 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Joinville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
FFL
3 - 1
JEC
73%
16%
11%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
JEC
1 - 1
FFL
29%
24%
47%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
JEC
2 - 0
BRU
78%
14%
8%
|
64 | 44 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
AVA
1 - 0
JEC
58%
22%
21%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
JEC
3 - 0
CRI
46%
24%
30%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |