Boa EC vs Guaratinguetá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.5%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
24.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boa EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2012 |
CRB
0 - 0
BOA
40%
28%
32%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2012 |
JEC
3 - 0
BOA
56%
24%
20%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
BOA
2 - 1
IFC
46%
27%
27%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2012 |
VIT
3 - 2
BOA
74%
18%
9%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2012 |
AVA
2 - 1
BOA
70%
20%
10%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Guaratinguetá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2012 |
GUA
1 - 2
AMF
26%
26%
47%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2012 |
ASA
3 - 1
GUA
60%
22%
18%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2012 |
SAO
1 - 0
GUA
63%
22%
15%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2012 |
GUA
2 - 0
PAR
33%
27%
40%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2012 |
GUA
1 - 2
CRB
49%
26%
25%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |