Boa EC vs Guarani MG analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.4%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
13.9%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boa EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
BOA
1 - 3
CRZ
11%
22%
68%
|
59 | 85 | 26 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
TOM
0 - 0
BOA
36%
25%
39%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
BOA
1 - 0
NAC
78%
15%
7%
|
59 | 19 | 40 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
MIN
1 - 2
BOA
17%
22%
61%
|
59 | 37 | 22 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
URT
1 - 4
BOA
28%
26%
46%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Guarani MG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
CRZ
2 - 0
GUA
89%
9%
2%
|
46 | 85 | 39 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
GUA
0 - 1
URT
46%
25%
29%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2014 |
TOM
1 - 1
GUA
58%
22%
20%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
NAC
3 - 2
GUA
13%
20%
67%
|
48 | 13 | 35 | -2 |
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
GUA
3 - 1
MIN
63%
21%
16%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | +1 |