Copa do Brasil 1/16
Global 2-3
Boa EC vs Goiás EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.5%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.9%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
60.7%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
24%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boa EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
TUP
3 - 0
BOA
35%
25%
40%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2010 |
VIL
1 - 0
BOA
31%
24%
45%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
BOA
1 - 2
DEM
72%
17%
11%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
AME
0 - 0
BOA
24%
24%
52%
|
62 | 42 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
BOA
0 - 3
USC
67%
19%
14%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Goiás EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
GOI
3 - 1
CAN
92%
7%
2%
|
79 | 38 | 41 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2010 |
CAN
2 - 2
GOI
9%
16%
75%
|
79 | 37 | 42 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
MOR
1 - 2
GOI
8%
16%
76%
|
79 | 38 | 41 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
GOI
2 - 0
SAN
89%
8%
3%
|
79 | 50 | 29 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2010 |
ITU
1 - 1
GOI
15%
21%
64%
|
79 | 54 | 25 | 0 |