Boa EC vs Cruzeiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.1%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.5%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.1%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.3%
66.6%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
15.3%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.3%
0-2
14.2%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.7%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boa EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
TOM
2 - 1
BOA
33%
25%
42%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
VIL
3 - 1
BOA
31%
26%
44%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
BOA
1 - 2
TUP
56%
24%
20%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
AMF
0 - 0
BOA
66%
19%
14%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
BOA
2 - 1
NEC
61%
22%
17%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
ARA
2 - 3
CRZ
9%
17%
74%
|
82 | 44 | 38 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
CRZ
3 - 1
TOM
87%
10%
3%
|
82 | 49 | 33 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
GUA
0 - 0
CRZ
10%
18%
72%
|
82 | 45 | 37 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2013 |
CRZ
2 - 0
AME
87%
10%
3%
|
82 | 49 | 33 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
CRZ
2 - 1
ATM
46%
25%
30%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |