Mineiro 1 Semi-finals
Global 2-6
Boa EC vs Cruzeiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.7%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.1%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.1%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.5%
73.8%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
12.7%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.7%
0-3
10%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.1%
0-4
5.9%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8.2%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.7%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boa EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2009 |
DEM
1 - 2
BOA
40%
25%
35%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
BOA
1 - 0
DEM
57%
22%
21%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2009 |
BOA
1 - 2
ATM
16%
20%
64%
|
56 | 79 | 23 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
UBE
1 - 1
BOA
47%
25%
28%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
BOA
2 - 0
SOC
67%
19%
14%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2009 |
EST
4 - 0
CRZ
36%
27%
38%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
TUP
2 - 7
CRZ
8%
16%
77%
|
85 | 52 | 33 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
CRZ
1 - 0
TUP
94%
5%
1%
|
85 | 52 | 33 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2009 |
CRZ
7 - 0
DEM
94%
5%
1%
|
85 | 51 | 34 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
RBR
1 - 1
CRZ
7%
15%
78%
|
85 | 50 | 35 | 0 |