Boa EC vs Caldense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.1%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
17%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boa EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
ATM
2 - 1
BOA
89%
9%
2%
|
51 | 84 | 33 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
BOA
1 - 4
TOM
28%
27%
45%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
URT
1 - 1
BOA
29%
27%
44%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
BOA
0 - 1
CRZ
16%
25%
59%
|
53 | 76 | 23 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2021 |
PAT
1 - 0
BOA
26%
27%
47%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Caldense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
CAL
0 - 0
ATH
34%
25%
42%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
COI
0 - 2
CAL
36%
25%
38%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2021 |
CAL
1 - 2
UBE
28%
26%
46%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
POA
3 - 1
CAL
46%
24%
30%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2021 |
CAL
2 - 1
ATM
5%
15%
80%
|
45 | 84 | 39 | +1 |