Boa EC vs Avaí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.9%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.3%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
12.3%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
49.6%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
16.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.1%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boa EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2018 |
CRI
1 - 1
BOA
59%
25%
16%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2018 |
BOA
2 - 2
SAO
35%
30%
36%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2018 |
PAY
2 - 0
BOA
58%
25%
17%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2018 |
GOI
1 - 2
BOA
61%
24%
15%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
BOA
1 - 1
COT
20%
28%
52%
|
57 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2018 |
AVA
2 - 0
COT
44%
27%
29%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2018 |
SAM
1 - 1
AVA
31%
29%
40%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2018 |
AVA
0 - 1
CRI
67%
20%
12%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2018 |
AVA
3 - 1
PAY
63%
22%
15%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2018 |
CRB
0 - 4
AVA
34%
29%
38%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | +1 |