Cup 1/32
Global 9-8
Bo'ness United vs Elgin City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.2%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
12.2%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bo'ness United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
ELG
4 - 4
BON
26%
22%
53%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
BON
7 - 1
CUL
79%
14%
6%
|
58 | 26 | 32 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
SEL
0 - 4
BON
18%
20%
62%
|
57 | 22 | 35 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
BON
0 - 3
CWB
47%
23%
30%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -2 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
BON
2 - 1
WHI
72%
17%
11%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Elgin City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
ELG
4 - 4
BON
26%
22%
53%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2014 |
ELG
0 - 4
ALB
44%
24%
33%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
CLY
2 - 1
ELG
60%
21%
19%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
BER
1 - 1
ELG
66%
19%
16%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
FOR
1 - 3
ELG
39%
24%
37%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | +1 |