Q. Europa League Tercera Ronda Final
Global 2-0
Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv vs Paços de Ferreira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.5%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
26%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2009 |
DIN
0 - 1
BNE
40%
27%
33%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2009 |
BNE
4 - 0
DIN
53%
25%
23%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2009 |
BNE
3 - 0
SIM
51%
24%
26%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2009 |
SIM
0 - 1
BNE
48%
25%
27%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2009 |
BSA
3 - 1
BNE
41%
29%
30%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Paços de Ferreira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2009 |
PAÇ
1 - 0
ZIM
52%
25%
24%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2009 |
ZIM
0 - 0
PAÇ
50%
24%
26%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2009 |
FCP
1 - 0
PAÇ
64%
22%
14%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
PAÇ
1 - 0
TRO
67%
21%
12%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
NAC
1 - 0
PAÇ
52%
24%
24%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |