FA Cup 1/256
Global 3-4
Blyth Spartans vs Wrexham AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.6%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.7%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.5%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.3%
75%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
13.9%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.2%
0-3
10.7%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
15.4%
0-4
6.2%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
8.3%
0-5
2.9%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.7%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Blyth Spartans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
BLY
1 - 1
BAN
15%
23%
62%
|
34 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
CHO
0 - 1
BLY
63%
21%
17%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
DAR
1 - 0
BLY
67%
19%
13%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
HER
3 - 0
BLY
54%
24%
22%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | -2 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
BLY
2 - 0
GUI
52%
24%
24%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Wrexham AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
WRE
7 - 5
BAR
73%
17%
10%
|
58 | 40 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2022 |
NOT
1 - 0
WRE
35%
26%
39%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
OLD
1 - 2
WRE
21%
23%
56%
|
58 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
WRE
6 - 0
GUL
68%
20%
12%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
SOU
0 - 0
WRE
17%
23%
60%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | 0 |