Blyth Spartans vs Shrewsbury Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.6%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.8%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
55.2%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Blyth Spartans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
DRO
2 - 0
BLY
64%
20%
16%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2008 |
VAU
2 - 1
BLY
38%
26%
36%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | -2 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
RED
2 - 0
BLY
52%
24%
24%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
BLY
2 - 4
KIN
32%
26%
42%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
BLY
0 - 4
TAM
40%
27%
34%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Shrewsbury Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2008 |
STF
5 - 0
DAG
44%
24%
32%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
STF
3 - 0
LUT
49%
26%
26%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2008 |
STF
2 - 2
BAR
56%
24%
20%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
BRE
1 - 1
STF
41%
26%
34%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2008 |
STA
2 - 1
STF
28%
26%
46%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | -1 |