FA Cup Previa 3
Global 4-2
Blyth Spartans vs Campion AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.5%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
7%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
19.8%
28.6%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
4%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Blyth Spartans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
CAF
1 - 1
BLY
30%
20%
50%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
BLY
1 - 4
MOR
51%
21%
29%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
WOR
5 - 2
BLY
73%
16%
11%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2024 |
GUI
0 - 0
BLY
53%
23%
25%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
BLY
1 - 1
LAN
34%
24%
42%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Campion AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
CAF
1 - 1
BLY
30%
20%
50%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
CAF
1 - 0
ALI
52%
20%
28%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2024 |
CAF
6 - 3
THA
63%
18%
19%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
ALB
1 - 4
CAF
37%
22%
41%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
ROS
4 - 1
CAF
35%
21%
44%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | -2 |