Blyth Spartans vs Birmingham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.2%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
62.1%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Blyth Spartans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2014 |
WHI
1 - 0
BLY
23%
23%
54%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2014 |
BLY
1 - 0
WOR
69%
18%
13%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
GRA
1 - 7
BLY
24%
23%
53%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2014 |
BLY
1 - 0
TRA
75%
15%
10%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2014 |
HAR
1 - 2
BLY
37%
25%
38%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2014 |
NTT
1 - 3
BIR
58%
23%
19%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2014 |
BIR
0 - 4
DER
34%
26%
40%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
HUR
0 - 1
BIR
46%
25%
29%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
BIR
6 - 1
REA
39%
26%
35%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
BPO
1 - 0
BIR
27%
26%
46%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |