Blyth Spartans vs Alfreton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.6%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.2%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.3%
11.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Blyth Spartans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
BLY
1 - 1
UNM
59%
20%
21%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
BLY
1 - 4
BRO
38%
24%
39%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2018 |
BLY
4 - 0
GAI
74%
15%
10%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2018 |
SPE
3 - 1
BLY
36%
23%
41%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2017 |
BLY
2 - 3
SPE
57%
21%
22%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Alfreton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
ALF
4 - 1
LEA
31%
25%
44%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
ALF
1 - 1
DAR
28%
22%
50%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2018 |
NOR
0 - 3
ALF
20%
20%
60%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 2018 |
ALF
1 - 3
STO
22%
25%
53%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2017 |
STO
1 - 0
ALF
72%
17%
11%
|
29 | 44 | 15 | -1 |