Blumenthaler SV vs Union Bremen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.1%
25.8%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+33%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
2º
8º
7º
42
6º
13º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 47 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 29 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 19 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Blumenthaler SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
OSC
4 - 0
BLU
57%
20%
23%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
BLU
5 - 2
SGA
28%
21%
51%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | +3 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
VAT
2 - 1
BLU
33%
21%
46%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
BLU
0 - 2
BRI
47%
20%
33%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | -2 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
BTN
1 - 3
BLU
56%
20%
24%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Union Bremen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
UNI
4 - 0
LEH
75%
14%
11%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
VAB
1 - 1
UNI
55%
20%
25%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
UNI
0 - 4
TKA
87%
9%
4%
|
30 | 15 | 15 | -2 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
TRB
0 - 2
UNI
61%
19%
21%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
UNI
1 - 7
WER
11%
17%
72%
|
30 | 47 | 17 | -1 |